This is a big weekend for the Cubs and Brewers. Since the break, the Cubs have been one of the best teams in baseball going 11-2 in that span. The Brewers on the other hand, have been returning back to Earth going 4-9 since the break. Milwaukee has since given up the division lead and now trail the Cubs by 1.5 games. Current PECOTA projections have the Brewers 4th in the division for the remainder of the season. So here is a look at the next three games:
7/28 probables: Quintana vs Suter:
The Cubs new pitching acquisition, Jose Quintana, has started his Cubs career in a good way. He has posted a 2.08 ERA in his 2 starts with the Cubs with 19 strikeouts in just 13 innings. On the other side of the battery, Willson Contreras has been one of the hottest hitters in baseball since the break slashing .348/.412/.739 with 5 home runs. Contreras has been much better hitting against left handed pitchers batting over .300 in his career. In his 6 games at Miller Park however, he has struggled hitting only .136/.240/.182. Bent Suter, Milwaukee’s starter is enjoying a nice rookie season posting a 2.84 ERA over 38 innings pitched. Suter is a command pitcher who rarely throws a ball greater the 90 mph. He is good at controlling the run game. This is his first start against the Cubs but struggled in his 2 innings in relief against them giving up 4 earned runs in 2 innings of work.
7/29 probables: Hendricks vs Guerra:
Saturday nights game offers a match up involving two struggling pitchers. Hendricks had a rough start to the season following his breakout 2016 season currently posting a 3.95 ERA while being on the DL for over a month finally returning last week going 4.1 innings giving up 1 ER. Guerra has also had an injury plagued season and has struggled to 5.22 ERA and an even worse 5.92 xFIP. He has failed to go over 6 innings in any of his past 5 starts while posting a 9.00 ERA. Hendricks has done well at Miller Park throughout his career going 4-1 with a 2.52 ERA. Guerra last year was great against the Cubs starting 2 games going 1-1 with a 2.08 ERA.
7/30 probables: Lackey vs Davies:
Lackey has struggled this year as well currently having a 4.97 ERA. He has especially struggled in the first three innings of games allowing a league leading 16 home runs. He struggled his first start against the Brewers giving up 4 ER in 6 IP. Davies currently has a 4.45 ERA this year and has been highly inconsistent. He could be one of the best pitchers in the league or one of the worst. He will be entering this start on a hot streak not allowing an earned run in his last 14.2 IP shutting out Pittsburgh and Washington who are two very good offensive lineups. If the Brewers are to take a game, this would be the one.