Its that time of year again when everybody starts planning for fantasy football. Every previous season is forgotten about and a new season begins (unless your in a dynasty league). In this article I will highlight some players who you should and shouldn’t draft in the first round of a PPR league.
Who I Like in Round 1:
If I have the first overall pick in a PPR league I am taking Antonio Brown. He has eclipsed 1500 yards and 8 touchdowns in each of the last four seasons and has had 10 or more touchdowns in each of the last three years. Last season he was targeted 10 times in 10 of his 15 games. In addition he has been incredibly durable over the years playing in at least 15 regular season games each of the last 4 seasons. You know how many first round picks this year can say that? None. Brown is the ultimate low risk high reward draft pick and should be picked first overall in any PPR league.
Evans was targeted 10 or more times in a game in 11 of his 17 games played in 2016. He is only 23 years olf and trending upwards. Head coach Dirk Koetter has called plays targeting Evans a substantial amount ever since Evans broke into the league 3 years ago as a rookie. Koetter is an offensive minded coach who is capable of having a team put up monster offensive numbers. QB, Jameis Winston is only going to continue to improve in his young career and he will rely on his top receiver. Evans also received at least 1 endzone target in 11 games last season. Evans has also been durable playing in at least 15 regular season games every year.
Who I Would Avoid in Round 2:
The biggest change in Buffalo has been the change in head coach. Current head coach Dennison plays an outside zone running scheme which McCoy experienced with Chip Kelly in Philadelphia and did miserably in. He will continue to see more targets out of the backfield than the average running back but if he struggles in terms of rushing that may affect how we see him used out of the backfield.
Ranked 9th overall by ESPN, Jordy would be a solid mid-second round pick, but should not be taken in the first round. Packers will continue to put on an offensive clinic as long as Rodgers is playing, but it is unlikely he receives as many targets this year as last year. He set career highs in targets and touchdowns last season and led the NFL in red zone targets. Jordy Nelson is 32 years old and coming off a season of career highs. And if you are wondering how many wider receivers have had 1,000 yards with 10+ touchdowns in a season since 2005, the answer is only 6. Odds are that Jordy will not produce first round numbers, but a high powered Packer’s offense will make Jordy a solid pick yet. Just not in the 1st round.
Others I like in round 1:
Odell Beckham Jr.
LeVeon Bell (If pick 3 or later)
Others I do not like in round 1:
AJ Green (durability issues)