Fantasy Football Preview

Its that time of year again when everybody starts planning for fantasy football.  Every previous season is forgotten about and a new season begins (unless your in a dynasty league).  In this article I will highlight some players who you should and shouldn’t draft in the first round of a PPR league.

Who I Like in Round 1:

Antonio Brown:

If I have the first overall pick in a PPR league I am taking Antonio Brown.  He has eclipsed 1500 yards and 8 touchdowns in each of the last four seasons and has had 10 or more touchdowns in each of the last three years.  Last season he was targeted 10 times in 10 of his 15 games.  In addition he has been incredibly durable over the years playing in at least 15 regular season games each of the last 4 seasons. You know how many first round picks this year can say that? None.  Brown is the ultimate low risk high reward draft pick and should be picked first overall in any PPR league.

Mike Evans:

Evans was targeted 10 or more times in a game in 11 of his 17 games played in 2016.  He is only 23 years olf and trending upwards.  Head coach Dirk Koetter has called plays targeting Evans a substantial amount ever since Evans broke into the league 3 years ago as a rookie.  Koetter is an offensive minded coach who is capable of having a team put up monster offensive numbers.  QB, Jameis Winston is only going to continue to improve in his young career and he will rely on his top receiver. Evans also received at least 1 endzone target in 11 games last season.  Evans has also been durable playing in at least 15 regular season games every year.

Who I Would Avoid in Round 2: 

LeSean McCoy:

The biggest change in Buffalo has been the change in head coach.  Current head coach Dennison plays an outside zone running scheme which McCoy experienced with Chip Kelly in Philadelphia and did miserably in.  He will continue to see more targets out of the backfield than the average running back but if he struggles in terms of rushing that may affect how we see him used out of the backfield.

Jordy Nelson:

Ranked 9th overall by ESPN, Jordy would be a solid mid-second round pick, but should not be taken in the first round.  Packers will continue to put on an offensive clinic as long as Rodgers is playing, but it is unlikely he receives as many targets this year as last year.  He set career highs in targets and touchdowns last season and led the NFL in red zone targets.  Jordy Nelson is 32 years old and coming off a season of career highs.  And if you are wondering how many wider receivers have had 1,000 yards with 10+ touchdowns in a season since 2005, the answer is only 6. Odds are that Jordy will not produce first round numbers, but a high powered Packer’s offense will make Jordy a solid pick yet.  Just not in the 1st round.

 

Others I like in round 1:

Odell Beckham Jr.

LeVeon Bell (If pick 3 or later)

Others I do not like in round 1:

AJ Green (durability issues)

Devonte Freeman

 

 

4 thoughts on “Fantasy Football Preview”

    1. Hes no longer a first round pick but will be a very solid late 2nd round pick. Make sure to handcuff him with mccfadden and morris though. He will be a good value in the late 2nd round!

    1. Of any of the rookie backs I like Mixon the most actually. He has great pass catching abilities and his ability to run between the tackles and outside makes him incredibly useful. The only risk with him is that if he starts struggling, Hill and Bernard will eat into his carries. He has the best overall talent of the bunch. Cook would the next best. He will have the lead role in Minnesota and proves at FSU that he is a great downhill runner. The Minnesota offensive line looks to be improved from last years terrible season. Cook reminds me of a Maurice Jones Drew type player. Latavious Murray might be used as a 3rd down back. Fournette has great talent as he was the talk of college football for most of the past couple seasons. He is big guy who could have success running the ball, but he is not the greatest receiver or blocker so could see decreased playing time. However, his upside is arguably the highest of the rookie backs. McCaffery will likely ease into his role. We have seen him impress so far by making a fool out of Kuechley, but he was used heavily over the years at Stanford. He will lose goal line carries to Stewart, but I think that working will Stewart will bode well for McCaffery in the future. He is worth an early 5th round pick in my opinion as his upside in PPR leagues could be promising.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *