Mock Draft Monday

Previously in Fantasy Football coverage here on statsswipe, we discussed how you should approach the first four rounds of a 10 team PPR league and also some undervalued players who you should look at drafting.  In this post I will be analyzing a complete draft.  I will go round by round explaining my picks and my mindset in each round.  Feel free to comment any questions or comments below.  My picks will be in bold.

Round 1:

D. Johnson

Bell

Brown

Beckham Jr.

Jones

Nelson

McCoy

Freeman

Evans

Green

 

I had the 9th pick, and it was a no brainer to draft Mike Evans.  I mentioned in the first fantasy football article how much I like Evans, and he should be highly drafted in any PPR league.  Johnson and Bell are both can’t miss picks, but Brown is the safest pick and should be taken as early as possible.  McCoy and Freeman are about the riskiest picks of this round and I would not draft them ahead of Evans in any draft.

Round 2

Gordon

Ajayi

Murray

Thomas

Gronkowski

Howard

Baldwin

Cooks

Cooper

Hilton

 

With my 2nd round pick I took Jay Ajayi.  He will receive both an ample amount of carries and receptions.  He is entering into a prime age and finished last season strong.  His pre-season appears that he is starting where he left off last season.  The last 4 picks of this round are solid.  I like Cooper the best and Hilton the least, but if Hilton slips to a late 2nd round pick he is worth the draft.  I mentioned in a previous article about Cooks as well and the massive ceiling he has.

Round 3

Gurley

Fournette

Bryant

Jeffery

Demaryius Thomas

Lynch

Elliot

Crabtree

Montgomery

Pryor Sr.

 

Montgomery led the league in elusiveness rating last season and he possesses great breakaway speed.  He will receive a good chunk of receptions out of the backfield as well.  The Packers, as usual, will be an offensive juggernaut this season and will consistently run the ball at the end of games.  Elliot went in this round which was a smart draft, and I would have taken him if he would have made it to me.  Drafting Lynch where he did was risky and not advised as he may have a limit on carries and has been out of football for too long.  Crabtree is another very smart pick in this round.

Round 4

Crowell

Landry

Miller

Fitzgerald

Rodgers

Hopkins

Hyde

Reed

Allen

Tate

 

Landry is and forever will be a PPR only play.  It appears he will not be traded and will not be negotiating a new contract during the season, thus he will be motivated to have a big season going into off-season.  Rodgers will have another great season where he will compete for the MVP award and it is acceptable to draft him here.  Reed, Hyde, and Hopkins are risky picks.  Hopkins still doesn’t have a QB to throw to him, and Reed and Hyde are injury risks.  I really like Crowell as a sneaky good RB.  Wont receive many receptions, but he is a great runner.

Round 5

McCaffery

Adams

Brady

Hunt

Powell

Peterson

Sanders

Benjamin

Olson

Cook

 

Olson received the 2nd most targets among TEs last season.  Year in and year out he continues to put up consistent numbers.  He may not have as big of games as Gronk or Kelce will, but he will consistently put up 8-10 points a week.  Dalvin Cook is a great pick right after me.  He will be the lead guy in Minnesota with an upgraded line.  I also like Kelvin Benjamin who was taken right before me.  He will return from injury and jump right into being one of Cam’s favorite targets.

 

Round 6

Robinson

Garcon

Martavis Bryant

Ingram

Wallace

Kelce

Crowder

Mixon

Brees

Woodhead

 

Pierre Garcon is looking like Hoyer’s favorite target so far in pre-season.  That being said, the 49ers will be throwing the ball a lot since they will be losing a lot.  He is very undervalued and is a great 6th round pick.  Kelce slipped and should definitely be grabbed this late in the draft.  Mixon has the best talent among rookie backs and if he receives opportunity could turn out to be a great pick.  Bryant will have a solid year being the number two WR in a high powered Steelers offense.

Round 7

Matt Ryan

Tyreek Hill

Gore

Abdullah

Watkins

Jackson

Gilleslee

Martin

Perkins

Diggs

 

I was very tempted to draft Stephon Diggs here but ended up with Paul Perkins.  He will receive bulk as the lead role in NY.  His end zone carries will make him valuable.  He will receive very little receptions.  Watkins, Jackson, and Doug Martin are other picks I really like in this round.

 

Round 8

Terrence West

Thielen

Parker

Graham

Marshall

Riddick

CJ Anderson

Lacy

Walker

Snead

 

Thielen will continue to play out of the slot and be the favorite to lead the Vikings in targets and receptions.  He broke out last season and I see him having a season where he receives over 85 receptions.  I absolutely do not like Jimmy Graham, as he is the most inconsistent player I have ever watched.  On the other hand, I really like the other TE drafted this round, Delanie Walker.  As a friend of mine once said about Walker, “you will never be happy about Walker, but you also will never be upset about him”.  That describes him in a nutshell.  He has received over 100 targets and 60 completions in each of the last 3 seasons.  Great 8th round pick.

 

Round 9

Rudolf

Maclin

Forte

Ertz

Wilson

R. Kelley

Moncrief

Eifert

J. Matthews

Decker

 

Jordan Matthews will be the number one target for Tyrod Taylor.  He is spotlighted in the undervalued players article published last week.  Rudolf led all TEs in targets and was 3rd in receptions last season.  Good value in the 9th round.

Round 10

Cam Newton

James White

Cousins

Stafford

Derrick Henry

Duke Johnson Jr.

Sea Def

Britt

McFadden

 

White will be leading the backfield in receptions and also goal line carries.  Rumors say that with losing Edelman, the backfield (mostly White) will receive and uptick in targets.  White is a fantastic value in this round.  Obviously if you drafted Elliot (which you still should) you have to get McFadden.  Id draft him in round 9 just to be safe.

Round 11

Tyrell Williams

Sproles

Rishard Matthews

Winston

Stewart

Witten

Corey Davis

Luck

Corey Coleman

Blount

 

If Kizer if the starting QB in Cleveland, it is clear based on preseason that Corey Coleman is his favorite target.  At this point in the draft I start bulking up on high upside players, and Coleman has a very high upside.  I like Tyrell Williams in this round as well as Jameis Winston.  If you cant tell already I am very high on the Bucs have a standout offense this season.

 

Round 12

Bernard

Prescott

Cobb

Carr

Jones

Hogan

Kevin White

Rawls

Zay Jones

Denver Def

 

When going for a QB I originally wanted Winston.  Prescott will continue to develop and put up solid numbers.  He has a great line to protect him and he is a versatile player.  Hogan is another good pick in this round.  If you drafted Lacy it would be very smart to handcuff him with Rawls.

 

Round 13

Prosise

Jacquizz Rodgers

Mariota

Roethlisburger

KC Def

Jamal Charles

Bennett

Burkhead

John Brown

Hunter Henry

 

I mentioned Brown in my undervalued players article as well.  He will have a bounce back season continuing to be the number 2 behind Fitzgerald.  Again, this is a round to grab your handcuff.  Charles with Anderson, and Rodgers with Freeman.  Mariota and Big Ben are solid QB drafts in this round.  I also really like KC defense in this round.  They easily could be the number 1 defense in football.

Round 14

Tex Def

Vikings Def

Ginn Jr.

Tucker

Chris Thompson

Doctson

Joe Williams

Matt Bryant

Shepard

Gostkowski

 

Minnesota’s defense was great last year and really looks similar this season.  You do not want to be left having to stream defenses if you don’t have to.  Invest in a top 10 defense early.  Sterling Shepard is a great pick in this round.

Round 15

Doyle

Vinatieri

Amendola

Ariz Def

Dan Bailey

NE Def

Latavius Murray

Crosby

Vereen

Prater

 

I drafted Vereen as a handcuff to White.  Having both NE RBs is valuable since they will be in the lead often at the end of games.  Otherwise the round mostly was comprised of Defenses and Kickers.  I continue to endorse Dan Bailey.  Every year he is underrated as a kicker but he continues to be a top 3 kicker.  Kickers are the least important pick, but draft Bailey!

 

Round 16

Rivers

Dustin Hopkins

Rams Def

Steelers Def

Santos

Tyrod Taylor

Lutz Kamara

Car Def

Ebron

 

Nothing special here.  Just took a kicker.  They are an easy last round pick.  You wont win or lose a league via a kicker draft pick.  Tyrod Taylor is a great QB to draft in the last round if you haven’t drafted a QB yet.

 

Take whatever advice you want from this article.  I have done this strategy or similar in all of my leagues for the past decade and a half and have had much success with it.  Good luck and stay tuned for more coverage throughout the season.

 

 

 

 

 

 

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